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2021 PGA Tour Sanderson Farm Championship: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks

Author-Avatar
Author:
Bradley Gibbs
Last Updated:
October 15, 2021
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This author was thoroughly tested and approved by the experts at BettingBilly.com before joining the editorial board to ensure a high content quality.
Author Bio:
 
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
2021 PGA Tour Sanderson Farm Championship: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Sungjae Im
Sungjae Im Portrait
Corey Conners
Corey Conners Portrait
Sam Burns
Sam Burns Portrait
Keegan Bradley
Keegan Bradley Portrait
Sergio Garcia
Sergio Garcia Portrait
Will Zalatoris
Will Zalatoris Portrait
Keegan Bradley Portrait
Keegan Bradley
Sergio Garcia Portrait
Sergio Garcia
Will Zalatoris Portrait
Will Zalatoris
Si Woo Kim Portrait
Si Woo Kim
Sanderson Farm Championship
Took place: 30/09/2021 7:00 am in Jackson
Winner: Sam Burns Wins

Now that the Ryder Cup has been and gone, and the Americans have re-installed themselves as the dominant force in team golf, it’s back to the grind on the PGA Tour. This week it’s the Sanderson Farm Championship at the Country Club of Jackson in Mississippi.

After their exploits in Wisconsin last week, the majority of the Ryder Cup players will miss out here, which means that this is an opportunity for those less familiar with competing at the very top of the tree. Sergio Garcia, who won this event a year ago, is the only Ryder Cup participant, from either Team Europe or Team USA, who makes the trip to Jackson, though USA vice captain Zach Johnson will be involved too.

Sanderson Farm Championship General Information:

  • Date: Sunday, June 26, 2021
  • TV-Time: Golf Channel 4 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Country Club of Jackson
  • Location: Mississippi
  • Prize Money: $6.6 Million ($1,188,000 to the winner)
  • Winner last year: Sergio Garcia
2021 PGA Tour Sanderson Farm Championship: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Sam Burns Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+188
Units: 3/10
Additional Pick
Keegan Bradley Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+350
Units: 3/10
Additional Pick
Carlos Ortiz Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+125%
Bradley Gibbs

Tournament, Conditions & Course Info

After match-play was the order of last week, normality resumes. It’s back to the regular stroke play format that is seen week in, week out on the PGA Tour. The Country Club of Jackson, which for this tournament consists of two separate nines, known as Dogwood and Azalea, has been hit with rain, so we can expect the course to be on the soft side, though sunshine is forecast for the remainder of the week, meaning that the conditions ought to be perfect. Attacking play will very much be on the cards, and scores will be low.

In general, this is a venue that suits a big-hitter, but one who can be accurate as well as long off the tee, as no shortage of tree-laden fairways increase the emphasis on positioning. Smaller, lofted greens, many of which have steep run-off areas, mean that approach play isn’t something to forget either, while in previous renewals, the Sanderson Farm Championship has demanded quite a bit of the putter, so someone who’s hot with the flatstick is likely to prevail.

Expert Pick #1 – Sam Burns Top 10 Finish @+188

With all the focus on the Ryder Cup players last week, Sam Burns is someone who has slipped under the radar somewhat in terms of major media attention, but the young American is fast becoming one of the best players on tour. Now ranked 25th in the world, the man from Louisiana appears to have all the required qualities to deliver a big performance in Jackson this week.

As touched on above, a strong putting game will be needed, which won’t be an issue for Burns, who finished the previous campaign as the ninth best player on tour in terms of strokes gained: putting, while he’s got the distance too. He’s also a man who gets down to business and scores when it matters, making more birdies than all but four players on tour last season. Eight top-ten finishes in the last 12 months, the player who finished third here back in 2018 is fancied to once again do well, and bettors can make him pay by taking a top-ten finish at +188.

Fedex Cup Rank: 18 | Fedex Cup Points: -6 | OWGR: 25

Approx. Start Time: 8:16 a.m. ET

Expert Pick #2 – Keegan Bradley Top 10 Finish @+350

It was a solid season last time around for Woodstock native Keegan Bradley, whose dialled-in approach play and general accuracy tee-to-green should be put to good use this week.

Not only did Bradley post three top-tens, plus four other top-20’s last term, but he excelled at this venue in 2020, finishing fourth, and in doing so, the 35-year-old posted some incredibly encouraging strokes gained data. Of those in the field to have previously played at least four rounds at the Sanderson Farm Championship, Keegan Bradley ranks as the second best player in terms of strokes gained: total, while he’s inside the top ten for strokes gained: off-the-tee, strokes gained: tee-to-green and strokes gained: around-the-green.

In a less than top-quality field, this is a big opportunity for a player of Bradley’s ilk, and with plenty in his favour, the one-time major winner is supported to have a good week.

Fedex Cup Rank: 39 | Fedex Cup Points: 1,206 (2021) | OWGR: 81

Approx. Start Time: 9:00 a.m. ET

Expert Pick #3 – Carlos Ortiz Top 20 Finish @+500

We round the main picks off with a third and final top-10 play, and this time it’s Mexican Carlos Ortiz who gets the nod. Another player to take seriously in this field, the University of North Texas graduate is steady off the tee, which should help here, while he’s not short of form on this track having finished inside the top ten in two of the last three renewals.

Having played ten previous rounds here, Ortiz ranks as the fourth best player in the line-up when it comes to strokes gained: total at the Country Club of Jackson in the last five years, while he ranks fourth off the tee also. Such numbers aren’t easy to ignore and they make the 30-year-old very simple to get behind in the top-ten betting.

Fedex Cup Rank: 48 | Fedex Cup Points: 1,090 (2021) | OWGR: 68

Approx. Start Time: 1:11 p.m. ET

2021 PGA Tour Sanderson Farm Championship: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Sam Burns Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+188
Units: 3/10
Additional Pick
Keegan Bradley Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+350
Units: 3/10
Additional Pick
Carlos Ortiz Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+125%
Bradley Gibbs

2021 Sanderson Farm Championship Odds

*Odds as of Tuesday at 6:00 p.m. ET

PlayerOdds
Sam Burns+1600
Will Zalatoris+1600
Sergio Garcia+2000
Sungjae Im+2000
Corey Conners+2000
Mito Pereira+3000
Keegan Bradley+3300
Si Woo Kim+3300

92/100
Burns to burn it up in Jackson

One of the hottest prospects from a seemingly never ending conveyor belt of American talent, Sam Burns finds himself in a rare position here. In this field, the world number 25 is the highest ranked player and is thus the one to beat. He finished the previous campaign in fine form, while as touched on above, he has the game required to do well at this venue. It’s far from a one-horse race with the likes of Sergio Garcia and another of the US youngsters Will Zalatoris vying for supremacy at the head of the market, but Burns won’t get many better gilt-edged opportunities to cement his position among the elite, that’s for sure.

2021 PGA Tour Sanderson Farm Championship: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Sam Burns Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+188
Units: 3/10
Additional Pick
Keegan Bradley Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+350
Units: 3/10
Additional Pick
Carlos Ortiz Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+125%
Bradley Gibbs

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