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2022 PGA Tour Farmers Insurance Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks

Author-Avatar
Author:
Bradley Gibbs
Last Updated:
May 12, 2022
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This author was thoroughly tested and approved by the experts at BettingBilly.com before joining the editorial board to ensure a high content quality.
Author Bio:
 
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
2022 PGA Tour Farmers Insurance Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
John Rahm
John Rahm Portrait
Xander Schauffele
Xander Schauffele Portrait
Tony Finau
Tony Finau Portrait
Keegan Bradley
Keegan Bradley Portrait
Bryson DeChambeau
Bryson DeChambeau Portrait
Hideki Matsuyama
Hideki Matsuyama Portrait
Keegan Bradley Portrait
Keegan Bradley
Bryson DeChambeau Portrait
Bryson DeChambeau
Hideki Matsuyama Portrait
Hideki Matsuyama
Will Zalatoris Portrait
Will Zalatoris
Justin Rose Portrait
Justin Rose
2022 Farmers Insurance Open
Took place: 26/01/2022 11:00 am in San Diego, California
Winner: Luke List Wins

The PGA Tour train continues to roll through California this week, with players heading to the famous Torrey Pines, where the Farmers Insurance Open will be held on both courses, starting on the North, concluding with 36 holes on the South.

Farmers Insurance Open General Information:

  • Date: 26 January – 29 January, 2022
  • TV-Time: Golf Channel, 12:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Torrey Pines
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Prize Money: $8,400,000 ($1,350,000 1st Place)
  • Winner last year: Patrick Reed
2022 PGA Tour Farmers Insurance Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Tony Finau to Win
Best odds
+2800
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Justin Rose Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+700
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Will Zalatoris Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+450
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+114%
Bradley Gibbs

Tournament, Conditions & Course Info

A regular stop on the PGA Tour, Torrey Pines has long been the host of the Farmers Insurance Open, won last year by Patrick Reed, who won’t be the only previous winner teeing it up on Wednesday. In total, seven winners of this event will be involved, including two-time winners Brandt Snedeker and Jason Day.

Unlike last week, where there was a gaping hole where top-tier talent usually is, the big dogs are out in force this time. Dustin Johnson returns to action, while Brooks Koepka, Jon Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, Scottie Sheffler, Sam Burns and Daniel Berger will all be in attendance too. Tony Finau, who finished runner-up here 12 months ago, is another big player set to feature.

Of the two courses in use, players tend to find more scoring opportunities on the North, while the South Course is where course management comes into play in quite a heavy manner. Going low on the North and then plotting their way round on the South is how players will thrive this week. One particular area of importance is likely to be GIR (greens in regulation. Only one of the last seven winners finished the week lower than T14 for GIR.

Expert Pick #1 – Tony Finau to Win @+2800

World number 16 Tony Finau arrives at Torrey Pines off the back of a solid and progressive effort last week. He didn’t exactly start off at any great pace, though he played himself into form, going lower each round before finishing with a very pleasing 67. That effort at the American Express came off the back of T7 and T19 finishes at the Hero World Challenge and the Sentry Tournament of Champions, so his game is in decent shape right now.

The big hitting American has the length from tee box to do well at Torrey Pines, a venue where he’s often got down to business in impressive fashion in the past. His form figures in the last renewals of this event read 4, 6, 13, 6, 2. Last season, the two-time PGA Tour winner did everything right when finishing as the runner-up, while of those players to have played this tournament more than once, he rates as the second-best player in the field in terms of strokes gained: total at Torrey Pines. That stat combined with a string of solid efforts here make Finau a chief contender, and a worthy sportsbook bet at appealing odds.

Fedex Cup Rank: 131 | Fedex Cup Points: 77 | OWGR: 16

Approx. Start Time: 1:40 p.m. ET

Expert Pick #2 – Justin Rose Top 10 Finish @+700

If you’re looking for a top-ten bet at juicy odds this week, then Justin Rose fits the bill. The Englishman has quietly crept back into form over the last month or so, posting recent finishes of T33, T9 and T12, while he comes into this event off the back of one of his best ball-striking displays in some time at the American Express last week.

Moreover, this is an event that has suited the 2013 US Open winner has often thrived in, twice finishing inside the top ten, in addition to emerging victorious back in 2019. Of those who have played this event more than once, he also rates as the third-best in the field in terms of strokes gained: total at Torrey Pines, ranking third for strokes gained: around-the-green.

Fedex Cup Rank: 111 | Fedex Cup Points: 99 | OWGR: 48

Approx. Start Time: 1:30 p.m. ET

Expert Pick #3 – Will Zalatoris Top 10 Finish @+450

Will Zalatoris impressed last week, playing as though his time to win again is not far away at all. Bettors really shouldn’t be put off playing the 25-year-old in the outright market, but at odds of +450, he’s far too good to miss in the top-ten market.

In finishing T6 at PGA West, Zalatoris showed that he has his game in good order right now; his shot making was eye-catching, as was the way he dropped just a single shot over the last 36 holes. Combine this with his solid effort here last year and the youngster becomes very hard to oppose. He finished seventh in 2021, posting very pleasing strokes gained figures in the process. In fact, of those to have played more than one event at Torrey Pines, nobody has gained more strokes overall at this venue than Will Zalatoris, who picks up an average of 2.23 per round.

Fedex Cup Rank: 46 | Fedex Cup Points: 214 | OWGR: 36

Approx. Start Time: 12:10 p.m. ET

2022 PGA Tour Farmers Insurance Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Tony Finau to Win
Best odds
+2800
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Justin Rose Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+700
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Will Zalatoris Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+450
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+114%
Bradley Gibbs

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Odds

*Odds as of Tuesday at 9:20 a.m. ET

PlayerOdds
Jon Rahm+700
Justin Thomas+1400
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Hideki Matsuyama+2200
Sam Burns +2500
Daniel Berger+2500
Dustin Johnson+2500
Tony Finau +2800
Sungjae Im+3000

2022 Farmers Insurance Open Additional Picks

Top-Five

One player to finish top-five.

Tony Finau (+600)

If you don’t like the idea of playing Tony Finau in the outright market, take him as a top-five bet. Finishes of 4th, 6th, 6th and 2nd in the last five seasons show he goes well on this track, while he’s one of the very best in this field when it comes to strokes gained at Torrey Pines.

Top-10

One player to finish top-10.

Ryan Palmer (+700)

At appealing odds, Ryan Palmer rates as a great alternative in the top-ten market. The 45-year-old has been enjoying himself in recent weeks, posting recent finishes of T11 and T12, while this season he’s performed well in terms of GIR, which is a positive ahead of a trip to Torrey Pines. Factor in two top-ten finishes here in the last four seasons and he rates as a lovely bet at +700.

Top-20

One player to finish top-20.

Keegan Bradley (+350)

Keegan Bradley is a player that over the last year or so has made a habit of finishing inside the top 20, posting two already this season, as well as seven last season. In addition, the four-time PGA Tour winner has a string of pleasing efforts at this tournament to his name, finishing inside the top 20 four times since 2014.

First-Round Leader

One player to post the low score Thursday.

John Rahm (+2500)

World number one Jon Rahm knows how to come out of the gate fast at the Farmers Insurance. In five attempts, he’s held the first round lead once, while he has also been inside the top five after day one in two of his other four appearances.

The Big Hero

Underdog with chances to win.

Justin Rose (+8000)

Not long ago, Justin Rose would’ve been anything but an unlikely winner, but such is the game of golf. The 41-year-old hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since January 2019, but that win came in this event, which is an event that has often served Rose well. As touched on above, he has two top-fives here in addition to his victory, while he has the strokes gained data to show that he can tussle with the best of them at Torrey Pines. At +8000, Rose could be the big hero, that’s for sure.

100/100
Quick on the North, steady on the South

Starting well on the North Course will be paramount this week, as the SOuth Course at Torrey Pines provides players with a stern test. Be on the lookout for those players who can handle the pressure of a course that demands precise, measured play, and don’t overlook previous course form, as those with proven form in the book tend to thrive at this venue.

2022 PGA Tour Farmers Insurance Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Tony Finau to Win
Best odds
+2800
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Justin Rose Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+700
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Will Zalatoris Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+450
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+114%
Bradley Gibbs

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