Section Background Image
Top 3 Comparison
100%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$1,100
10
Sports
Mobile / App
100%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$1,000
15
Sports
Mobile / App
21+ / T&C APPLIES
99%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$250
21
Sports
Mobile / App
All Sportsbooks

2022 PGA Tour Mexico Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks

Author-Avatar
Author:
Bradley Gibbs
Last Updated:
May 1, 2022
Approved
Author
This author was thoroughly tested and approved by the experts at BettingBilly.com before joining the editorial board to ensure a high content quality.
Author Bio:
 
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
2022 PGA Tour Mexico Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Daniel Berger
Daniel Berger Portrait
Tony Finau
Tony Finau Portrait
Patrick Reed
Patrick Reed Portrait
Carlos Ortiz
Carlos Ortiz Portrait
Abraham Ancer
Abraham Ancer Portrait
Chris Kirk
Chris Kirk Portrait
Carlos Ortiz Portrait
Carlos Ortiz
Abraham Ancer Portrait
Abraham Ancer
Chris Kirk Portrait
Chris Kirk
Kevin Na Portrait
Kevin Na
Mexico Open
Took place: 28/04/2022 7:00 am in Puerta Vallarta, Mexico
Winner: Jon Rahm Wins

After many weeks stateside, the PGA Tour packs its bags and heads to Mexico, where the Mexico Open is set to take place at Vidanta Vallarta’s Signature Course.

Mexico Open General Information:

  • Date: April 28th – May 1st, 2022
  • TV-Time: e.g. NBCSN, 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Vidanta Vallarta
  • Location: Puerta Vallarta
  • Prize Money: $7,000,000 ($1,314,000 1st Place)
  • Winner last year: Alvaro Ortiz Becerra
2022 PGA Tour Mexico Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Gary Woodland Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+300
Units: 4/10
Additional Pick
Cameron Champ Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Additional Pick
Carlos Ortiz Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+300
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+113%
Bradley Gibbs

Tournament, Conditions & Course Info

For the second time this season, the PGA Tour will be played on Mexican soil. Following the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba, it’s time for the Mexico Open and Vidanta, won last season by Alvaro Ortiz Becerra. Though this isn’t a new event it is the first time it will feature on the PGA Tour schedule, replacing the WGC Mexico Championship, which is now a thing of the past.

With this being a new event, one that is far less prestigious than many others, we saw something of a lesser field, or rather there are fewer top-tier players involved. World number two Jon Rahm is the highest ranked player who’ll tee it up at Vidanta this week. In fact, the Spaniard is the only top-ten player to make ]the trip. Other notable inclusions are world number 23 Daniel Berger, Tony Finau, who is now ranked 25th, and Abraham Ancer, who joins Rahm as one of just two top-20 players to feature.

Designed by Greg Norman, the Signature Course and Vidanta is a Par 71 situated next to the Ameca River, providing players and fans alike with a stunning view of the Sierra Madre Mountains. At 7,456 yards, it’s not a short course, though it’s not thought to be overly demanding with wider fairways and larger greens, though it won’t be plain sailing, as despite their size the putting surfaces are undulating and expected to run fast, while plenty of water hazards are ready to punish those who aren’t accurate.

In general, the Signature Course looks to provide a solid test, for which players will need to bring their all-round game, though strong putting and steady scrambling may be the focus.

Expert Pick #1 – Gary Woodland Top 10 Finish @+300

Gary Woodland is a man on the up. The one-time major winner is now injury free and is playing solid golf, so much so that he’s flown up the rankings in less than a quarter of a year. 30th on the PGA Tour for strokes gained: total right now, Woodland arrives in Mexico having finished inside the top ten in three of his last six events. Sure, he was cut at the Masters last time out, but he’s never really been an Augusta man, so don’t focus too heavily on that result.

What we should focus on is the fact that the four-time PGA Tour winner has a string of promising results on coastal courses, with no fewer than seven top-seven finishes, one of which was a win, at courses such as Kapalua, Waialae and Pebble Beach since 2015.

If we look at the strokes gained data from the last eight events, the 37-year-old ranks fourth for strokes gained: tee-to-green, as well as second for strokes gained: approach. Undoubtedly one of not only the better players in this line-up, but one of the most in form, Woodland is worth betting on to finish highly this week.

Fedex Cup Rank: 59 | Fedex Cup Points: 414 | OWGR: 96

Expert Pick #2 – Cameron Champ Top 10 Finish @+500

Another eye-catcher this week is Cameron Champ, who hasn’t exactly set the world alight this season, but who does arrive here off the back of a promising T10 finish at the Masters most recently. A monster off the tee, Champ is currently the longest on tour with the driver, and he’s no stranger to winning after putting together a strong performance, with each of his three PGA Tour wins coming after promising performances where he finished inside the top ten.

His length off the tee should certainly set up scoring opportunities this week, while we really shouldn’t estimate the fact that he’s coming off the best performance of the season at Augusta, where he ranked in the top five for Total Driving, Total Accuracy and Greens in Regulation. With many gaps in this field, at chunky odds, the 26-year-old is worth supporting to make it two top-tens in a row

Fedex Cup Rank: 181 | Fedex Cup Points: 96 | OWGR: 104

Expert Pick #3 – Carlos Ortiz Top 20 Finish @+300

Carlos Ortiz has been in poor form of late, failing to make the cut in each of his last four events, which doesn’t make for great reading, though it does work in our favour, as there are eye-catching odds available on the second highest ranked Mexican player in World Golf, who returns to play in his homeland for the first time in a while.

A return to Mexican shores could easily spark an upturn in fortunes for the 31-year-old, who finished second in Mexico earlier this season. We saw how effective he can be on these sorts of courses when he was second in his own right at Mayakoba in October, so do not be surprised if he surpasses what are some poor recent showings.

Fedex Cup Rank: 69 | Fedex Cup Points: 378 | OWGR: 90

2022 PGA Tour Mexico Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Gary Woodland Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+300
Units: 4/10
Additional Pick
Cameron Champ Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Additional Pick
Carlos Ortiz Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+300
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+113%
Bradley Gibbs

2022 Mexico Open Odds

*Odds as of Monday at 1:00 p.m. ET

PlayerOdds
Jon Rahm+600
Daniel Berger+1600
Tony Finau+2000
Abraham Ancer+2200
Gary Woodland+2500
Kevin Na+2200
Patrick Reed+2800
Chris Kirk+3300
Cameron Tringale+3300
Aaron Wise+3300

2022 Mexico Open Additional Picks

Top-Five

One player to finish top-five.

Kevin Na (+600)

If you’re looking for a top-five play at nice odds, take a chance on Kevin Na, who has been playing some solid golf in recent weeks. The five-time PGA Tour winner, whose accuracy off the tee is likely to be a big help this week, goes to Mexico off the back of T9, T14 and T26 finishes, so his game is clearly in good shape right now. Don’t be surprised if he goes close in the absence of several top players.

Top-10

One player to finish top-10.

Graeme McDowell (+1100)

At big odds, Graeme McDowell rates as a great alternative top-ten bet. A solid putter, whose scrambling ability will certainly have a role to play this week, McDowell has played some tidy golf of late, finishing T21 at the RBC Heritage just a fortnight ago. Sure, he’s no longer a regular contender at the top level, though he posted a T12 in Bermuda towards the back end of last year, showing that he can still tussle in the low-key events. It’s also eye-catching that nobody in this line-up has more Paspalum wins on the PGA Tour, so have a few dollars on Gmac outplaying what is a hefty price-tag this week.

Top-20

One player to finish top-20.

Adam Schenk (+400)

An alternative top 20 player is Adam Schenk, who arrives here off the back of playing some solid golf at the Zurich Classic last week, where he saw out all four days alongside his partner, finishing in a tie for 14th. Far from a standout on tour this season, Schenk has played some of his best stuff for a while over the last month, playing really well in the last low-key event, finishing T7 at the Corales Puntacana Championship at the end of last month. His putting has been the highlight this season, which bodes well ahead of these greens, and with lots of the better players not featuring, the world number 191 could find himself featuring higher up than usual come Sunday afternoon.

First-Round Leader

One player to post the low score Thursday.

Scott Stallings (+7000)

Scott Stallings has been knocking on the First Round Leader door for a while now, and this could finally be his time to get out in front. A quick starter, who has ended round one inside the top seven in five of his last 12 starts, including in two of his last four, the American rates as an option in the First Round Leader market.

The Big Hero

Underdog with chances to win.

Pat Perez (+11000)

Popular on tour, Pat Perez could surprise a few this week. Two of the 46-year-olds PGA Tour victories came on Paspalum courses, while he’s played well in Mexico before, finishing T8 at Mayakoba back in 2019.

100/100
Handle the greens for success at Vidanta

As touched on above, the course is a bit of an unknown quantity this week, but from what we do know about it, the greens are likely to be key. They’re sizable, will be fast, while there’s no shortage of tricky run-off areas, meaning that strong putting will need to be complemented by strong scrambling. Longer hitters should also thrive, so look to those who can bomb it off the tee, as well as those who score strongly on Par 5’s.

2022 PGA Tour Mexico Open: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Gary Woodland Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+300
Units: 4/10
Additional Pick
Cameron Champ Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Additional Pick
Carlos Ortiz Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+300
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+113%
Bradley Gibbs

You want to bet with another operator? Check out our comparison:

 
Choose your state
Arizona
Colorado
Connecticut
District of Columbia
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Michigan
Mississippi
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New York
Pennsylvania
Tennessee
Virginia
West Virginia
Wyoming
Filter
100%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$1,100
10
Sports
Mobile / App
100%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$1,000
15
Sports
Mobile / App
21+ / T&C APPLIES
99%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$250
21
Sports
Mobile / App
99%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$1,000
16
Sports
Mobile / App
21+ / T&C APPLIES
98%
Rating
*******
Bonuscode
100% up to
$100
20
Sports
Mobile / App
100% up to$1,000
100% Risk-free Bet up to $1,000
21+ / T&C APPLIES