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2022 PGA Tour The Masters: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks

Author-Avatar
Author:
Bradley Gibbs
Last Updated:
June 2, 2022
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This author was thoroughly tested and approved by the experts at BettingBilly.com before joining the editorial board to ensure a high content quality.
Author Bio:
 
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
Bradley is one of the newer faces on our team of betting experts. When he's not placing yet another absolute monster bet with the bookmaker he trusts, he's passionate about watching soccer and golf. The PGA Tour is therefore also one of his expert fields.
2022 PGA Tour The Masters: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Russell Henley
Russell Henley Portrait
Kevin Na
Kevin Na Portrait
The Masters
Took place: 07/04/2022 8:00 am in Augusta, Georgia
Winner: Scottie Scheffler Wins

After the Valero Texas Open, all roads lead to Augusta, where the first major of the season takes place, and where all the big names in golf will compete for the right to don the famous green jacket.

The Masters General Information:

Date: April 7 – April 10, 2022

TV-Time: ESPN, 3:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Augusta National Golf Club

Location: Augusta, Georgia

Prize Money: $11,500,000 ($2,070,000 1st Place)

Winner last year: Hideki Matsuyama

2022 PGA Tour The Masters: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Russell Henley to Win
Best odds
+5000
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Russell Henley Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Additional Pick
Kevin Na Top 20 Finish
Best odds
+450
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+115%
Bradley Gibbs

Tournament, Conditions & Course Info

It’s the one golf fans have been waiting for, the tournament that really kicks off the season and gets things moving, and the golfing elite will be out in force at Augusta National this week. For the first time this season, none of the big players will miss out, which means that the action will be as competitive as ever, and it also means that 2021 winner Hideki Matsuyama will have to see off a plethora of top-tier players if he wants to get his hands on a second green jacket.

Much of the pre-tournament attention has been on the return of Tiger Woods, who returns to competitive golf for the first time since his car accident in early 2021. If anybody can return with a bang at golf’s most hallowed venue then it’s the man who revolutionised the game during the early turn of the century. He’s also a man who owns five greens jackets, and who has nine other top-ten finishes at this venue, so don’t be surprised for a second if the greatest to ever do it goes close this week.

Away from Tiger, a whole host of top players have their sights set on glory. Dustin Johnson searches for a second win here, while world number two Jon Rahm will be hoping to improve on four consecutive top-ten finishes at this tournament. New world number one Scottie Scheffler must fancy himself to go close in a major following his three recent wins on the PGA Tour, while the likes of Brooks Koepka, Collin Morikawa and Justin Thomas will be hoping to add another major to their tallies.

As is always the case at Augusta, the winner this week will be strong tee-to-green, but they will really make their mark by hitting plenty of greens in regulation. Both Tiger and DJ finished the week as the best player in the field for GIR when en route to victory in 2019 and 2020, while the averaging finishing position in terms of GIR of the last ten winners at Augusta is fifth. In other words, if you’re not hitting lots of greens in regulation, you won’t be getting close to a green jacket.

Expert Pick #1 – Russell Henley to Win @+5000

With the top of the outright betting market being dominated by those that fill the top ten places in the world rankings, there’s a few very, very good players at bigger odds, and one of those is Russell Henley.

This will be the first time that Henley has competed at the Masters since he finished T15 here in 2018, but don’t be put off by his lack of recent appearances, as when he has been to Augusta in the past, he’s played well, finishing T15, T11 and T21 in his last three Masters appearances. Besides, we’re talking about a player, who over the last year or so has shifted through the gears and taken his game to the next level, so much so that he’s now comfortably inside the world’s top 50 (ranking 42nd).

The three-time PGA Tour winner arrives here off the back of recent T13 finishes at both the PLAYERS and the Arnold Palmer, while he was second at the Sony Open not that long ago too. What’s more, we know that GIR is going to be an important stat this week, which bodes well since Henley is one of the better players on tour when it comes to hitting greens in regulation, ranking 12th in this field.

Going against the big dogs will not be for everyone, but if you’re looking for a player who has been in solid form for a while at a bigger price, or perhaps an alternative to some main selections. Either way, for my money, Henley fits the bill nicely.

Fedex Cup Rank: 20 | Fedex Cup Points: 716 | OWGR: 42

Expert Pick #2 – Russell Henley Top 10 Finish @+500

In a field full of the best players in the world, Henley doesn’t exactly have a gilt–edged chance of coming out on top, but he certainly holds solid top-ten claims.

To follow on from the above, the world number 42 ranks among the top players in this field in terms of strokes gained: total over the last eight events, with only eight players sitting above him in that particular area. Over the last eight tournaments, he also ranks ninth for strokes gained: approach, which is eye-catching given the importance of strong approach play at Augusta, and ninth for strokes gained: tee-to-green. Combine this with his previous finishes at the Masters, which came at a time when his game wasn’t as complete as it is right now, and top-ten odds of +500 start to look very appealing.

Fedex Cup Rank: 20 | Fedex Cup Points: 716 | OWGR: 42

Expert Pick #3 – Kevin Na Top 20 Finish @+450

If you’re looking for players whose odds simply don’t match the category that they slot into in terms of world rankings, then Kevin Na is a big standout. Right now, you can get odds of up to +17500 on the world number 30 putting on a green jacket, which seems a little crazy to me.

OK, the 38-year-old doesn’t exactly stand out as one of the most likely winners of this event, but there’s plenty to suggest that he can outplay what is a huge price-tag. For starters, he finished 12th here last year, and 13th the year before that, while in total, he has four top-20 finishes at the Masters. Moreover, he is one of the most prolific Bentgrass green winners in this line-up. Four of his five PGA Tour wins have come on Bentgrass. Only Dustin Johnson, Zach Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Tiger Woods, Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy have more, which for me, is quite an eye-opening stat, one that tells us that this is a man who enjoys playing on pure Bentgrass greens, as we’ll see at Augusta this week.

Fedex Cup Rank: 133 | Fedex Cup Points: 174 | OWGR: 30

2022 PGA Tour The Masters: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Russell Henley to Win
Best odds
+5000
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Russell Henley Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Additional Pick
Kevin Na Top 20 Finish
Best odds
+450
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+115%
Bradley Gibbs

2022 Masters Odds

*Odds as of Tuesday at 1:00 p.m. ET

PlayerOdds
Jon Rahm+1100
Justin Thomas+1200
Cameron Smith+1400
Scottie Scheffler+1400
Dustin Johnson+1600
Rory McIlroy+1800
Collin Morikawa+1800
Brooks Koepka+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Xander Schauffele+2200

 

2022 Masters Additional Picks

Top-Five

One player to finish top-five.

Justin Thomas (+275)

It feels like it’s been a long time since Justin Thomas last came out on top, but the reality is it’s only just over a year since JT won the PLAYERS, but for a player of his calibre, 13 months is a long time to go without silverware.

The world number seven has been in decent form, posting two top-tens in his last four events, while he’s currently the third best player on tour for strokes gained: total. Fourth here two years ago, this elite player isn’t likely to be far away, so if you’re looking for someone with rock-solid top-five claims, give Thomas a go.

Top-10

One player to finish top-10.

Tony Finau (+400)

Having made a name for himself as something of a nearly man, Tony Finau finally picked up his second PGA Tour win last season, and although things haven’t exactly gone well this time around, the 32-year-old arrives here off the back of a promising finish at the Valero Texas Open last week, where on the final day he was the best in the field in terms of greens in regulation. Add this to his excellent Masters form, with finishes of T10, T5 and T10 in the last four years, and Finau rates as a strong candidate for a top ten finish.

Top-20

One player to finish top-20.

Robert MacIntyre (+400)

Scotsman Robert MacIntyre caught the eye of many on debut here last season, finishing in a very admirable tie for 12th place. Since then, the 24-year-old has proved that his efforts on that occasion were no fluke, finishing inside the top ten at the Open Championship at the back end of the last campaign, while he’s shown himself to be a determined competitor in recent weeks, finishing T15 at the Genesis.

Across the last eight events, the up-and-coming player rates as the 12th best in this field for strokes gained: total, so don’t be surprised if his name features highly once again come Sunday evening.

First-Round Leader

One player to post the low score Thursday.

Jordan Spieth (+2200)

In terms of getting off to a fast start, Jordan Spieth rarely misses the mark here. Three times he’s held the lead at the Masters after round one, while he’s been inside the top five at the end of the first day on three other occasions, which is particularly impressive given the fact that he’s only made eight appearances at Augusta.

The Big Hero

Underdog with chances to win.

Kevin Na (+12500)

Without a major win, and without a win since January 2021, Kevin Na isn’t exactly popular in the betting this week, but as touched on above, the nine-time PGA Tour winner knows how to play well on Bentgrass, while his record here isn’t bad either, so don’t be surprised if he outplays what is a huge price-tag.

100/100
Henley to hit the greens at Augusta

The betting this week is naturally dominated by those at the top of the world rankings, and all the usual suspects, in other words the current top ten according to the Official World Golf Rankings, hold serious claims this week, that’s simply the nature of the majors. For those of you looking for something a little different, or rather someone to take on the main men, then there are a couple of nice higher priced plays. Few rate better in that sense than Russell Henley, who has performed well here in the past and who has been hitting lots of greens in regulation this season, which is always key at Augusta. Sure, bet on one of the big dogs and you probably won’t be far away, and watch out for Tiger too, though don’t be surprised if somebody from outside the world’s top ten comes through to claim the green jacket.

2022 PGA Tour The Masters: Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks Thumbnail
Our expert picks
Pick #1
Russell Henley to Win
Best odds
+5000
Units: 1/10
Additional Pick
Russell Henley Top 10 Finish
Best odds
+500
Units: 2/10
Additional Pick
Kevin Na Top 20 Finish
Best odds
+450
Units: 2/10
Your Expert:
+115%
Bradley Gibbs

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