New York Red Bulls go in search of their first victory in four matches when they play host to the New England Revolution on Saturday evening. In contrast, the Revs will be looking for a fourth straight win having extended their winning run last time out by beating Club de Foot Montreal.
The Red Bulls haven’t exactly had much luck in this fixture in recent times, winning just one of the last six renewals. New England Revolution, who currently sit top of the Eastern Conference, have won each of their last two matches against SAturday’s hosts, though they’ve not won at this venue since 2014.
New York Red Bulls – Hosts treading water
The hosts come into this game off the back of losing narrowly last time out, while they’ve now gone three games without picking up three points. It’s not that they’re easy to get the better of, far from it, given only one defeat in five, but they’re certainly not flourishing. Right now, they’re treading water, as they keep themselves in games without seriously imposing themselves in an attacking sense.
One thing that will give the Red Bulls boys confidence ahead of this fixture is their home form. Gerhard Struber’s men have won four of their last five and haven’t lost at home since the opening game of the season.
Expected Line-Up: Carlos – Tolkin, Tarek, Edwards, Duncan – Yearwood, Davis, Casseres, Clark – Fabio, Klimala.
with best odds
New England Revolution – League leaders in form
It’s not easy to criticise New England Revolution at present, that’s for sure. Bruce Arena’s men currently sit top of the Eastern Conference, while they’ve just won three games on the bounce, scoring eight goals and conceding just one in the process. Such efforts are impressive. If we were to scratch beneath the surface and be overly critical then we could say that they were somewhat fortunate to win last time out, as they walked away from their match with Montreal with an expected goal difference of -0.40, but their overall quality and end-product saw them through.
Expected Line-Up: Knighton – Bye, Farrell, Bell, Mafla – Traustason, Polster, Kaptoum – Gil – Bou, Buksa.
Expert Pick #1 – Over 2.5 Goals @-144
From a betting point of view, goals should be the focus here. We’re talking about two teams that haven’t made a habit of failing to score, while the visitors have had a clear taste for goals at both ends when playing on the road. The top scorers away from home in the Eastern Conference, New England Revolution, who’ve scored no fewer than 16 away goals this term, have both scored and conceded in six of their last nine travelling fixtures.
In addition, NYRB are averaging 1.66 goals per home game this season. Combine this with New England’s average of 1.77 goals per 90 away from home and goals are easy to support in the betting. We’re also talking about a pair that average a combined total of 2.95 expected goals per 90 in MLS this term.
Expert Pick #2 – Over 3.5 Goals @+180
Both teams have what it takes to produce the goods offensively in this match. Red Bulls have shown enough going forward on their own patch to suggest that they can seriously hurt a New England back-line that has often conceded goals on the road.
It’s also important not to forget the two recent matches between this pair in New England. Each of those matches contained at least five goals, as both teams found it easy to get going offensively, which is also displayed by the fact that a grand total of 7.6 expected goals were produced across those two games, not to mention a total of 66 shots. More of the same should be on the cards at Red Bull Arena.
Expert Pick #3 – Fabio to Score @+180
Forward Fabio Neto has only score twice for NYRB this season, but his performances in the final third have been strong, while he’s accustomed to getting himself into scoring positions and is no stranger to firing off shots, so much so that the goals should start to flow more freely for the Brazilian before long. Moreover, he’s averaging a pleasing 3.23 shots per 90, as well as a reasonably healthy 0.34 expected goals per 90. Against a New England rearguard that have twice struggled to keep the Red Bulls at bay this season, Fabio is worth a small play to find the net.
If you’re looking to get involved in this fixture, then goals should be your angle. We’ve already seen the pair play out two high-scoring fixtures, and if those matches are anything to go by, then the crowd in attendance at Red Bull Arena on Saturday evening should be in for a treat.